Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.072907 0.086703 0.102196 0.120852 0.142679 0.167379 0.197418
2025-02-16 0.051489 0.069092 0.091148 0.120685 0.159065 0.207094 0.271583
2025-02-23 0.040632 0.060017 0.086495 0.125018 0.179288 0.252610 0.358694
2025-03-02 0.031224 0.050090 0.077836 0.121139 0.186424 0.280431 0.425080
2025-03-09 0.025565 0.044076 0.073103 0.121227 0.198109 0.314956 0.504313
2025-03-16 0.020979 0.038636 0.067988 0.119388 0.205886 0.343836 0.577905
2025-03-23 0.018271 0.035709 0.066252 0.122407 0.221360 0.385999 0.676823
2025-03-30 0.015493 0.032057 0.062556 0.121291 0.229392 0.416556 0.759851
2025-04-06 0.013018 0.028458 0.058284 0.118314 0.233453 0.440432 0.833733
2025-04-13 0.010886 0.025098 0.053851 0.114230 0.234690 0.459101 0.900038
2025-04-20 0.009748 0.023585 0.052773 0.116444 0.248024 0.501060 1.013207
2025-04-27 0.008656 0.021952 0.051164 0.117279 0.258627 0.538856 1.122366
2025-05-04 0.007627 0.020294 0.049292 0.117415 0.268108 0.576117 1.235888
2025-05-11 0.006842 0.019069 0.048189 0.119081 0.281080 0.621926 1.371853
2025-05-18 0.006348 0.018472 0.048432 0.123818 0.301333 0.684900 1.549800
2025-05-25 0.005439 0.016592 0.045277 0.120081 0.302015 0.706530 1.642952
2025-06-01 0.004855 0.015473 0.043813 0.120194 0.311563 0.748325 1.783928
2025-06-08 0.004261 0.014195 0.041715 0.118376 0.316214 0.779632 1.904851
2025-06-15 0.003939 0.013657 0.041496 0.121372 0.333030 0.840414 2.098635
2025-06-22 0.003501 0.012660 0.039837 0.120266 0.339340 0.877275 2.240730
2025-06-29 0.003058 0.011543 0.037635 0.117313 0.340457 0.901781 2.356039
2025-07-06 0.002641 0.010412 0.035187 0.113261 0.338082 0.917424 2.451455
2025-07-13 0.002446 0.010011 0.034893 0.115457 0.353052 0.978059 2.664080